Warriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finals

Warriors vs. Cavaliers Preview: NBA Finals Odds, Analysis, Game Betting Pick

The Cleveland Cavaliers will go for their first win of the 2018 NBA Finals back at Quicken Loans Arena on Wednesday when they host the Golden State Warriors as home underdogs at the sportsbooks.

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The Cavs are hoping a change of scenery will help them get back into the series after the NBA champion Warriors rolled to a 122-103 victory as 11.5-point favorites in Game 2.

NBA point spread: The Warriors opened as five-point favorites; the total is at 217, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)

NBA betting pick, via OddsShark computer: 111.2-102.8, Warriors (NBA picks on every game)

Check out the OddsShark podcast on iTunes or at OddsShark.libsyn.com for more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news.

Why the Warriors can cover the spread

Golden State bounced back from a scare in the series opener by dominating Cleveland when it mattered most in Game 2, the second and fourth quarters.

The Warriors outscored the Cavaliers by a combined 18 points in closing strong before the intermission and at the end of the game to reward their backers with an easy cover.

The Warriors improved to 9-1 straight up and 7-2-1 against the spread in the past 10 meetings, according to the OddsShark NBA Database, and Stephen Curry is proving himself as a difference-maker and the NBA Finals MVP favorite after hitting a record nine three-pointers.

Why the Cavaliers can cover the spread

Cleveland has won eight straight home games this postseason, covering the spread in each of the last four, including all three versus the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference Finals.

In fact, the lone home loss for the Cavaliers in the playoffs took place in Game 1 of the first round against the Indiana Pacers.

The Cavaliers will be playing with desperation in this spot obviously knowing that no NBA team has rallied back from a 3-0 deficit to win a series, and LeBron James will not want to be swept in the championship round for the second time in his career.

Last year, Cleveland lost 118-113 in Game 3 before routing Golden State 137-116 in Game 4 to avoid the sweep.

Smart betting pick

The Cavaliers nearly pulled off a monster upset in Game 1 and looked good at times in Game 2. They are 4-3 SU and ATS in the past seven home meetings with the Warriors, which is a valuable trend worth betting on in this matchup.

Take Cleveland to cover.

NBA betting trends

The total has gone under in nine of Golden State’s last 12 games.

Golden State is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Cleveland.

Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last five games at home

All NBA odds and betting trends according to Bleacher Report’s official odds partner, OddsShark. Check out OddsShark on Twitter and Instagram or head to YouTube for more betting picks and analysis on this week’s top games. You can also download the free odds tracker app.

Cavs vs Celtics Live Stream

The Cavaliers got just what they needed in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals. Not only did they defeat the Celtics, but they did so in a balanced and dominant fashion that inspires confidence that they can still win. Cleveland gets a chance to tie the series Monday (8:30 p.m. ET) when it hosts Game 4 of the 2018 NBA playoffs series at Quicken Loans Arena. The Cavaliers are 6.5-point sportsbook favorites, with the over-under for total points scored set at 206.5.

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Before you lock in your picks, listen to SportsLine senior analyst Larry Hartstein. The veteran NBA handicapper is on a sizzling 18-9 run in his point-spread playoff selections, and he’s also on a 10-3 ATS (77 percent) run in games involving Boston or Cleveland.

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Moreover, Hartstein has been locked in on this series. He selected ATS winners in the first two games.

Hartstein knows Boston methodically broke and wore down Cleveland in the first two games, rolling to a blowout in Game 1 and overcoming a double-digit deficit in Game 3.

The seemingly fragile Cavaliers desperately needed to flip the script in Game 3, and they did just that in a 116-86 victory in which they never trailed.

LeBron James had 27 points and 12 rebounds as Cleveland built a 19-point lead in the first quarter and saw the margin hit 30 in the second half.

The Cavaliers hit 17 of 34 shots from 3-point range and also held a 53-42 rebounding advantage.

What’s more, their stat sheet finally resembled the formula Boston used for success in the first two games. Cleveland landed all five starters in double figures, with Kyle Korver providing 14 points off the bench.

Cleveland had 23 assists on 37 field goals and held Boston to 39.2 percent from the field, including 6 of 22 from long distance.

Now, the question remains whether Game 3 was an aberration or if it was the start of a resurgence by the Cavaliers. Hartstein knows a major trend will determine which side of the spread cashes on Monday. He’s sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.

Will James and company give a repeat performance Monday and cover, or will Boston bounce back from its worst loss of the postseason and regain control? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Celtics-Cavaliers you should support Monday from a seasoned handicapper who’s hitting 77 percent of his picks involving these teams.